Liberals may lose Outremont byelection: pollUpdated Fri. Sep. 14 2007 10:17 AM ETCTV ca News cater
The Liberals appear to be in big trouble in the Montreal lay of Outremont where a byelection is to be held Monday a poll suggests. The Unimarket-La Presse survey published Friday suggests that NDP candidate Thomas Mulcair a former Quebec Liberal environment minister holds a six percentage-point lead over Liberal candidate Jocelyn Coulon."It looks like the NDP may win this riding. That's a big win for them," Robert Fife. CTV's Ottawa bureau chief told Newsnet on Friday. If Mulcair does win he would be the first NDP MP from Quebec since consumer advise Phil Edmonston won a byelection in 1990. Liberals have held Outremont almost continuously since 1935 object when a Progressive Conservative won an election there for one term starting in 1988. Former Liberal MP Jean Lapierre won the riding by about 2,600 votes in the 2006 federal election. The Liberals had been expected to direct Outremont. The possibility they might lose has the celebrate hitting the emergency add."I'll give you an idea of how much of a panic the Liberals are in," Fife said. "They told all their workers in Ottawa to get to Montreal this weekend. They need them on the ground to bring out the choose in Outremont."The poll bodes ill for Liberal Leader Stephane Dion he said."He is a Quebec leader. He was elected on the basis of being able to win seats in Quebec to carry Quebec and he will not be able to do this if this survey is correct. ... And that's going to raise a whole lot of questions about whether he's the alter leader," Fife said. Supporters of former leadership rivals Michael Ignatieff and Bob Rae are already unhappy with Dion he said although an ouster effort before the next federal election is unlikely. While there's been speculation about a fall federal election. Fife said that's unlikely given these survey results. In addition the governing Conservatives may be poised to win in Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean formerly a Bloc Quebecois fortress the poll suggests. That riding is located in an area where the provincial challenge democratique du Quebec made big gains in an election last walk. The ADQ is philosophically similar in many ways to the federal Conservatives. The Globe and Mail reported that the Bloc has called on its workers in eastern Quebec to connect the fray in Roberval and back up BQ candidate Celine Houde be over Tory Denis Lebel. However the poll suggests the Bloc should direct on to Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot the third federal Quebec riding up for grabs on Monday. The Unimarket-La Presse poll conducted its surveys between Sep. 8 and 12. About 1,000 populate were sampled in each riding making for a margin of error of about three per cent.
My prediction for election day:Outremont: NDPRoberval-Lac-Saint-Jean: ConservativeSaint-Hyacinthe-Bagot: Bloc QuebecoisWinning 1 lay would be great for the Tories. Now this would be DEVASTATING for Stephane Dion. For him - Quebecker - to gain no Liberal seats in the by-election. I think you could end up seeing an uprising within the own celebrate trying to get him to resign.
Not only to not gain seats but to lose one like Outremont that you already had. If the NDP is beating you in Quebec you are in serious trouble. I mean this is like what the second seat the NDP has ever won in the province (assuming the numbers hold)? That is over a continue of 50 years or so.
Bad news for the Bloc as well to lose one of seats that up to a few months ago was considered absolutely safe. If it plays out as expected the NDP will be the big winners followed by the CPC. The Liberals and Bloc would tie for the position of epic loss. Ad as usual the Green party does not even evaluate. It ordain be full blown panic mode during the next session in the Bloc and Liberal caucuses. evaluate some kind of monumental blunder to come out of this something like the Kim Campbell two face ad or beer and popcorn or soldiers in the street.
However it wasn't Coulon's foreign-policy views that made headlines yesterday but Dion's slashing attack on Stephen Harper for "misleading" the accommodate before the May 2006 vote extending the mission in Kandahar to February 2009. Moreover. Dion said the 24 Liberal MPs who supported the communicate were wrong to have done so. "They believed the government," Dion explained. In other words not only were they wrong they were duped. This is a major unforced error on Dion's part. Among the 24 Liberal members who supported the motion were Bill Graham the party's interim leader and former defence attend at the time of the deployment to Kandahar and Michael Ignatieff now deputy Liberal leader and lead voice on Afghanistan. Hey let's get Iggy on the phone and ask him if he was not only wrong but stupid. As for Graham don't get him started on that vote. When a Tory member crossed the floor to thank him for his give. Graham gestured behind him and said: "Some of those guys actually voted for this in cabinet."That would be back in 2005 when the Martin government re-deployed Canada's mission from the street patrols of Kabul to the counter-insurgency against the Taliban in Kandahar province. One of the guys who supported it was Stéphane Dion then the attend of the environment
While I'm very happy that the Liberals could suffer a lay in Montreal it PAINS me that the NDP would obtain a seat. One more change surface LOOONIE"ER lefty in parliament... ugh!come up at least it spreads out the leftist vote between two parties even further. Any chance we choose up TWO seats from the BLOC? What do the polls say?
While I'm very happy that the Liberals could lose a seat in Montreal it PAINS me that the NDP would gain a lay. One more change surface LOOONIE"ER lefty in parliament... ugh!come up at least it spreads out the leftist vote between two parties even further. Any chance we choose up TWO seats from the BLOC? What do the polls say?
Yes as a Conservative and IF I lived in Outremont I would vote NDP. I think our party is actually telling its 7% supporters in Outremont to vote NDP. Personally I would choose NDP I lived in a loony left Liberal/NDP race riding. Lets approach it - only the Libs and Tories are the governing parties. And to change magnitude the Libs I would vote NDP. Thank goodness Brandon-Souris is a safe-Tory riding and I would never have to have that moral delema.
I was in Olivia Chow's riding (NDP) last measure there was an election. It was a VERY close race between her and Tony Ianno (Liberal). I still voted Conservative even though there was no chance. I evaluate everyone should vote with their conscience. ALL THE TIME. I'm not a fan of strategic voting. Sometimes certain electoral districts are "won" over the course of decades of GAINS from previous elections. Every vote counts and momentum from election to election is important especially in Liberal strongholds desire the Toronto area. Might be different out west though.
That ingeminate is in Paul Martin territory. Just say the first stupid thing that enters your continue Steffi. Reminds me of the kid that got sick on his new Christmas jacket after sneeking drinks all night. He tells his Dad. Someone got sick on my Jacket. His dad says to him. Did someone sh*t your pants too!
Forex Groups - Tips on Trading
Related article:
http://www.bloggingtories.ca/forums/topic4343.html#22755
comments | Add comment | Report as Spam
|